28
Jul 2025
6:05 UTC
Philippines Tactical: Anti-Duterte protest march slated from Film Center to Senate in Metro Manila from 13:00 (local time) on July 29; maintain vigilance
Current Situation:
- Members of the Bayan group are slated to hold a protest march from the Film Center in Pasay City to the Senate in Metro Manila from 13:00 (local time) on July 29.
- The protesters will denounce the Supreme Court (SC) decision that declared the impeachment decision against Vice President Sara Duterte as unconstitutional. The protesters will call for her to be held accountable.
Source: Facebook
Assessments & Forecast:
- The turnout at the slated protest march is likely to reach the low hundreds, based on the sustained sensitivities surrounding the issue given the recent SC verdict. An elevated participation is likely should members of the student community and other groups join the protest. The authorities are likely to bolster the security measures along the march route in the form of increased police deployment and barricade placement to monitor the proceedings.
- There remains a latent risk of scuffles between protesters and the police, considering the sensitivities of the issue. Should the former engage in perceived disruptive tactics such as blocking major roads or breaching security protocols, the police are likely to use measures such as forced removal from the site and temporary detention of protesters. Security tolerance will likely remain low in the vicinity of the Senate, considering the location’s sensitivity. Localized traffic disruptions in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations are expected during the slated hours on July 29 due to the anticipated turnout and associated security measures.
Recommendations:
Those operating or residing in Metro Manila on July 29 are advised to maintain vigilance in the vicinity of aforementioned locations due to the slated protest march and associated risk of unrest while allotting for travel disruptions.
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL
Medium
AFFECTED AREA
Manila, Philippines
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL
Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE
Credible
Current Situation:
- Members of the Bayan group are slated to hold a protest march from the Film Center in Pasay City to the Senate in Metro Manila from 13:00 (local time) on July 29.
- The protesters will denounce the Supreme Court (SC) decision that declared the impeachment decision against Vice President Sara Duterte as unconstitutional. The protesters will call for her to be held accountable.
Source: Facebook
Assessments & Forecast:
- The turnout at the slated protest march is likely to reach the low hundreds, based on the sustained sensitivities surrounding the issue given the recent SC verdict. An elevated participation is likely should members of the student community and other groups join the protest. The authorities are likely to bolster the security measures along the march route in the form of increased police deployment and barricade placement to monitor the proceedings.
- There remains a latent risk of scuffles between protesters and the police, considering the sensitivities of the issue. Should the former engage in perceived disruptive tactics such as blocking major roads or breaching security protocols, the police are likely to use measures such as forced removal from the site and temporary detention of protesters. Security tolerance will likely remain low in the vicinity of the Senate, considering the location’s sensitivity. Localized traffic disruptions in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations are expected during the slated hours on July 29 due to the anticipated turnout and associated security measures.
Recommendations:
Those operating or residing in Metro Manila on July 29 are advised to maintain vigilance in the vicinity of aforementioned locations due to the slated protest march and associated risk of unrest while allotting for travel disruptions.