11
Jan 2025
5:07 UTC
Georgia Tactical: Anti-government protests slated in Tbilisi starting from 10:00 (local time) on January 11; avoid vicinity of rallies
Current Situation:
- Activists from Dafioni are slated to hold a protest at the City Court in Tbilisi at 10:00 (local time) on January 11. The protest aims to commemorate three years since Dafioni began their movement and gather support for their leader, Zviad Tsetskhladze, as he appears in court on the same day.
- A protest march by members of Eco-transport is slated at Republic Square at 12:00 on the day.
- A march will be held in front of Akhmeteli Theatre on Vekua Street in Tbilisi at 14:00 on January 11.
- A protest march of the Nakhalovka Residents is set to take place at Metro Nadzaladevi Square in Tbilisi at 17:30 on the day.
- A march under the banner of “Inequality is Injustice” will be held from Republic Square to Parliament at 19:00 on January 11.
- Similarly, a “Friends’ March” is also slated from Tbilisi Concert Hall to Parliament at 19:00 on the day.
- A demonstration is slated to be held outside the Public Broadcaster of Georgia building at 19:00 on January 11.
- A protest rally is set to be held in front of Parliament at 19:00 on the day.
- A march by CHCD (Center for Civic Development) is slated to be held at Republic Square at 21:00 on January 11.
- A demonstration under the banner of “Threat of War” will be staged under the Eagle Statue on Rustaveli Avenue, Tbilisi at 21:30 on January 11.
- The protests demand fresh parliamentary elections and criticize the ruling Georgian Dream (GD) party’s suspension of EU negotiations in November 2024.
Assessments & Forecast:
- The turnout at the slated protests is likely to range in the low-to-mid hundreds, based on precedent in the previous protests and the persisting anti-GD sentiment in the country. As a precaution, authorities will heighten security measures in the vicinity of the City Court, Parliament, Republic Square, and other protest sites. The authorities are likely to deploy riot police and install barricades to monitor protest proceedings and to manage crowds.
- There remains a high risk of clashes between the police and the protesters, based on the authorities’ perceived low tolerance for anti-government demonstrations. The riot police will likely employ forcible dispersal measures, such as deploying water cannons and shelling tear gas, should the protesters resort to disruptive tactics such as releasing fireworks and breaching security protocols. Significant travel disruptions are anticipated in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the expected turnout and related security measures on January 11.
Recommendations:
Those operating or residing in Tbilisi on January 11 are advised to avoid the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the slated protests and related high risk of clashes while allotting for travel disruptions.
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL
Medium
AFFECTED AREA
Tbilisi, Georgia
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL
High
STRENGTH OF SOURCE
Credible
Current Situation:
- Activists from Dafioni are slated to hold a protest at the City Court in Tbilisi at 10:00 (local time) on January 11. The protest aims to commemorate three years since Dafioni began their movement and gather support for their leader, Zviad Tsetskhladze, as he appears in court on the same day.
- A protest march by members of Eco-transport is slated at Republic Square at 12:00 on the day.
- A march will be held in front of Akhmeteli Theatre on Vekua Street in Tbilisi at 14:00 on January 11.
- A protest march of the Nakhalovka Residents is set to take place at Metro Nadzaladevi Square in Tbilisi at 17:30 on the day.
- A march under the banner of “Inequality is Injustice” will be held from Republic Square to Parliament at 19:00 on January 11.
- Similarly, a “Friends’ March” is also slated from Tbilisi Concert Hall to Parliament at 19:00 on the day.
- A demonstration is slated to be held outside the Public Broadcaster of Georgia building at 19:00 on January 11.
- A protest rally is set to be held in front of Parliament at 19:00 on the day.
- A march by CHCD (Center for Civic Development) is slated to be held at Republic Square at 21:00 on January 11.
- A demonstration under the banner of “Threat of War” will be staged under the Eagle Statue on Rustaveli Avenue, Tbilisi at 21:30 on January 11.
- The protests demand fresh parliamentary elections and criticize the ruling Georgian Dream (GD) party’s suspension of EU negotiations in November 2024.
Assessments & Forecast:
- The turnout at the slated protests is likely to range in the low-to-mid hundreds, based on precedent in the previous protests and the persisting anti-GD sentiment in the country. As a precaution, authorities will heighten security measures in the vicinity of the City Court, Parliament, Republic Square, and other protest sites. The authorities are likely to deploy riot police and install barricades to monitor protest proceedings and to manage crowds.
- There remains a high risk of clashes between the police and the protesters, based on the authorities’ perceived low tolerance for anti-government demonstrations. The riot police will likely employ forcible dispersal measures, such as deploying water cannons and shelling tear gas, should the protesters resort to disruptive tactics such as releasing fireworks and breaching security protocols. Significant travel disruptions are anticipated in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the expected turnout and related security measures on January 11.
Recommendations:
Those operating or residing in Tbilisi on January 11 are advised to avoid the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the slated protests and related high risk of clashes while allotting for travel disruptions.