• In Tbilisi, multiple protests are slated on May 15, including a silent demonstration at the Varketili Metro Station at 16:00 (local time) and the Parliament at 20:00. 
• As of 15 May, a 24-hour protest remains ongoing outside the State Chancellery demanding the availability of medicines for children in Tbilisi.
• May 15 marks the 534th day of protests against the Georgian Dream (GD) party over its alleged anti-democratic posturing and crackdown on dissenters.

1. The turnout at the slated protests will likely range between the high dozens to low hundreds, based on the wide resonance of anti-GD sentiment. This is especially in the backdrop of the May 7 verdict for a group of ten individuals who were involved in organizing rallies on local body polling day on October 4, 2025, in Tbilisi. The authorities will likely bolster security measures in the vicinity of all locations, as part of standard security protocol. Riot police and barricades will be deployed in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations, as part of the bolstered security measures. 
2. There remains a high risk of clashes between protesters and the police due to limited tolerance for anti-government gatherings. This is especially in case protesters engage in behaviors perceived as disruptive, such as blocking major thoroughfares. The police are likely to respond by forcibly dispersing crowds and carrying out detentions in response to such situations. In instances of violence, such as with the use of pyrotechnics against security personnel, more stringent enforcement tactics can be expected, including the deployment of tear gas and water cannons. Significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic can be expected in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations on May 15.

Those operating or residing in Tbilisi on May 15 are advised to avoid the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the slated protests and associated high risk of clashes, while allotting for travel disruptions.