20
Aug 2025
17:25 UTC
Europe Tactical (UPDATE): Demonstrations marking Ukrainian Independence Day slated regionwide on August 24; maintain heightened vigilance
Current Situation
- Reports indicate demonstrations marking Ukraine’s Independence Day will be held regionwide on August 24. Details are as follows:
- In Paris, France, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a solidarity march starting from Place de la Republique at 14:00 (local time). After the initial gathering, participants will proceed towards Place de la Bastille. Additionally, a gathering will also take place at Trocadero at 19:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Paris, France, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a solidarity march starting from Place de la Republique at 14:00 (local time). After the initial gathering, participants will proceed towards Place de la Bastille. Additionally, a gathering will also take place at Trocadero at 19:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Hamburg, Germany, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration starting from Hauptbahnhof at 14:00. After the initial gathering, protesters will proceed towards Rathausmarkt.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Hamburg, Germany, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration starting from Hauptbahnhof at 14:00. After the initial gathering, protesters will proceed towards Rathausmarkt.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Amsterdam, Netherlands, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Dam Square at 14:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Amsterdam, Netherlands, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Dam Square at 14:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Warsaw, Poland, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Plac Zamkowy at 17:00.
Source: Facebook
- In Warsaw, Poland, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Plac Zamkowy at 17:00.
Source: Facebook
Assessments & Forecast
- Based on precedent and social media estimates, most of the demonstrations are expected to attract turnouts ranging from the low hundreds to the mid-thousands each. Meanwhile, the demonstration in Warsaw is likely to witness higher numbers, ranging from the low to mid tens of thousands.
- While the protests have been organized as peaceful solidarity events, they still carry a latent risk for unrest. This is due to the potential for counterprotests by anti-immigrant and/or pro-Russia groups, which could result in isolated scuffles between opposing groups, as well as police. The potential for such incidents is higher in Germany and Poland.
- As such, a bolstered security presence is likely to be deployed near the aforementioned protest locations in cities regionwide to monitor the proceedings as a precautionary measure. In case of escalating unrest, authorities are liable to use forcible crowd control measures, including conducting arrests.
- Disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic should also be anticipated near protest locations during their slated timings.
Recommendations
- Those operating or residing in Europe on August 24 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance near the aforementioned locations due to the latent potential for unrest at the protests.
- Allot for associated travel-related disruptions in the vicinity of the slated protest locations.
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL
Low
AFFECTED AREA
Europe
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL
Medium
STRENGTH OF SOURCE
Credible
Current Situation
- Reports indicate demonstrations marking Ukraine’s Independence Day will be held regionwide on August 24. Details are as follows:
- In Paris, France, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a solidarity march starting from Place de la Republique at 14:00 (local time). After the initial gathering, participants will proceed towards Place de la Bastille. Additionally, a gathering will also take place at Trocadero at 19:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Paris, France, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a solidarity march starting from Place de la Republique at 14:00 (local time). After the initial gathering, participants will proceed towards Place de la Bastille. Additionally, a gathering will also take place at Trocadero at 19:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Hamburg, Germany, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration starting from Hauptbahnhof at 14:00. After the initial gathering, protesters will proceed towards Rathausmarkt.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Hamburg, Germany, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration starting from Hauptbahnhof at 14:00. After the initial gathering, protesters will proceed towards Rathausmarkt.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Amsterdam, Netherlands, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Dam Square at 14:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Amsterdam, Netherlands, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Dam Square at 14:00.
Source: X/Twitter
- In Warsaw, Poland, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Plac Zamkowy at 17:00.
Source: Facebook
- In Warsaw, Poland, pro-Ukrainian activists will hold a demonstration at Plac Zamkowy at 17:00.
Source: Facebook
Assessments & Forecast
- Based on precedent and social media estimates, most of the demonstrations are expected to attract turnouts ranging from the low hundreds to the mid-thousands each. Meanwhile, the demonstration in Warsaw is likely to witness higher numbers, ranging from the low to mid tens of thousands.
- While the protests have been organized as peaceful solidarity events, they still carry a latent risk for unrest. This is due to the potential for counterprotests by anti-immigrant and/or pro-Russia groups, which could result in isolated scuffles between opposing groups, as well as police. The potential for such incidents is higher in Germany and Poland.
- As such, a bolstered security presence is likely to be deployed near the aforementioned protest locations in cities regionwide to monitor the proceedings as a precautionary measure. In case of escalating unrest, authorities are liable to use forcible crowd control measures, including conducting arrests.
- Disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular traffic should also be anticipated near protest locations during their slated timings.
Recommendations
- Those operating or residing in Europe on August 24 are advised to maintain heightened vigilance near the aforementioned locations due to the latent potential for unrest at the protests.
- Allot for associated travel-related disruptions in the vicinity of the slated protest locations.