02
Jul 2025
10:09 UTC
Georgia Tactical: Pro-US march slated from First Republic Square to Parliament in Tbilisi at 19:00 (local time) on July 4; avoid vicinity of rallies
Current Situation:
- A pro-US rally is slated from First Republic Square to the Parliament in Tbilisi at 19:00 (local time) on July 4.
- The march aims to commemorate US Independence Day and support the Mobilizing and Enhancing Georgia’s Options for Building Accountability, Resilience, and Independence (MEGOBARI) Act, aimed at strengthening Georgia’s democratic practices.
Source: Georgia Today
Assessments & Forecast:
- The participation in the slated march is anticipated to range from high dozens to low hundreds, given prevailing opposition to the ruling Georgian Dream’s (GD) perceived anti-democratic policies. As a standard security protocol, the authorities are likely to bolster security in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations. These measures will likely include setting up barricades and deploying riot police to monitor the proceedings.
- There remains a high risk of clashes between the police and protesters, considering the authorities’ perceived low tolerance toward gatherings potentially seen as anti-GD. Should the latter engage in perceived unruly behavior, including anti-government sloganeering, breaching security protocols, and blocking major thoroughfares, the police are expected to employ forcible dispersal measures to quell the unrest. These measures will likely include temporary detentions, the use of water cannons, and tear gas. Significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular travel are expected due to the high turnout and associated security measures during the slated march on July 4.
Recommendations:
Those operating or residing in Tbilisi on July 4 are advised to avoid the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the slated march and associated high risk of unrest while allotting for travel disruptions.
COUNTRY RISK LEVEL
Medium
AFFECTED AREA
Tbilisi, Georgia
INCIDENT RISK LEVEL
High
STRENGTH OF SOURCE
Credible
Current Situation:
- A pro-US rally is slated from First Republic Square to the Parliament in Tbilisi at 19:00 (local time) on July 4.
- The march aims to commemorate US Independence Day and support the Mobilizing and Enhancing Georgia’s Options for Building Accountability, Resilience, and Independence (MEGOBARI) Act, aimed at strengthening Georgia’s democratic practices.
Source: Georgia Today
Assessments & Forecast:
- The participation in the slated march is anticipated to range from high dozens to low hundreds, given prevailing opposition to the ruling Georgian Dream’s (GD) perceived anti-democratic policies. As a standard security protocol, the authorities are likely to bolster security in the vicinity of the aforementioned locations. These measures will likely include setting up barricades and deploying riot police to monitor the proceedings.
- There remains a high risk of clashes between the police and protesters, considering the authorities’ perceived low tolerance toward gatherings potentially seen as anti-GD. Should the latter engage in perceived unruly behavior, including anti-government sloganeering, breaching security protocols, and blocking major thoroughfares, the police are expected to employ forcible dispersal measures to quell the unrest. These measures will likely include temporary detentions, the use of water cannons, and tear gas. Significant disruptions to pedestrian and vehicular travel are expected due to the high turnout and associated security measures during the slated march on July 4.
Recommendations:
Those operating or residing in Tbilisi on July 4 are advised to avoid the vicinity of the aforementioned locations due to the slated march and associated high risk of unrest while allotting for travel disruptions.